šŸŽ™ļø New Gold Standard

[5 minutes to read] Plus: Blackstone bets on commercial real estate

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By Matthew Gutierrez and Shawn Oā€™Malley

If you can read this, that means you didnā€™t burn your eyes staring at todayā€™s solar eclipse, which cut straight through Americaā€™s heartland.

The economic impact of eclipse watch parties, with a surge in travel to cities along the trajectory with 100% coverage, is estimated at roughly $6 billion.

On the other hand, the U.S. will lose 30 gigawatts of solar power during the eclipse, equivalent to 30 nuclear reactorsā€™ output.

šŸŒ„ļø Our view was mostly clouds, but others got better videos.

ā€” Matthew & Shawn

Hereā€™s todayā€™s rundown:

Today, we'll discuss the biggest stories in markets:

  • Blackstoneā€™s $10 billion deal

  • Zimbabweā€™s new gold-backed currency

This, and more, in just 5 minutes to read.

POP QUIZ

Itā€™s harder than ever to get pancakes at 2 a.m. ā€” by how much did the number of restaurants open 24 hours fall during the pandemic? (The answer is at the bottom of this newsletter!)

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In The News

šŸ¢ Blackstoneā€™s $10 Billion Deal Is Latest Bet Property Near Lows

Made Using DALL-E

Big bucks have been dropped on apartments.Ā 

Blackstone, the financial titan, is going big with an all-cash deal worth $10 billion to swoop up Apartment Income REIT, aka AIR Communities, which has 76 rental communities, mainly in hotspots like Miami, Los Angeles, and Boston.Ā 

All clear: Blackstone isn't just buying; they're splurging an extra $400 million to jazz up these prime properties. This acquisition is Blackstone's grandest move yet in the multifamily market, signaling their bullish optimism on rental housing and a possible rebound in commercial real estate. Itā€™s contrarian investing meets real estate.

  • As The Wall Street Journal reported Monday, the acquisition is Blackstoneā€™s largest transaction in the multifamily market. It reflects the firmā€™s bullishness on rental housing and its belief that commercial real estate overall is bottoming.

  • ā€œWe can see the pillars of a real-estate recovery coming into place,ā€ Gray said this year. ā€œWe are, of course, not waiting for the all-clear sign and believe the best investments are made during times of uncertainty.ā€

  • Funded by Blackstone's $30.4 billion global real estate fund, this deal is set to close in the third quarter. Blackstone views multifamily and rental housing as prime spots for investment, especially as these markets remain relatively unscathed amid new supply and rising interest rates.

From The Wall Street Journal

Why it matters:

Blackstone is feeling the real estate recovery vibes. Despite a slight dip in earnings earlier this year due to shrinking real estate values, Blackstone is on an investment spree. They've recently snapped up a $17 billion loan portfolio, joined forces with Digital Realty for a $7 billion data center venture, and previously acquired Tricon Residential for $3.5 billion.

  • The AIR Communities deal comes with a 25% premium, priced at $39.12 a share in an all-cash deal. The news sent AIR Communities' shares soaring over 22% on Monday.Ā 

Fundamentally sound? AIR Communities is no small fry. Based in Denver, they've got a luxe portfolio of 76 apartment communities catering to the high rollers in Miami, Washington, and other swanky spots. Their average tenant earns a hefty $237,000 annual income, well above the national average.Ā 

  • Despite the apartment market feeling a squeeze lately, with prices taking an 8% dip in the past year, Blackstone is betting big. They believe in AIR Communities' high-quality apartments and strong fundamentals ā€” a pivot to quality amid industry uncertainty. Time will tell if their big bet pays off.Ā 

More Headlines

šŸ“ˆ U.S. states where everyday Americans earn the most money

šŸ’¼Ā Why the March jobs report was about as good as it getsĀ 

šŸ„ŖĀ Jersey Mikeā€™s Subs considers $8 billion sale to Blackstone

šŸ˜… Tech companies may soon run out of data on the internet to train AI on

šŸ›‘Ā Junior bankers say theyā€™ll quit after bonuses fall

šŸ‘‰ Bidenā€™s new student loan forgiveness plan could erase up to $20k in interest

šŸŽ“ Ivy League schools will charge students over $90,000 per year

šŸ–„ļø White House unveils $6.6 billion plan for building leading computer chips in the U.S.

šŸ‡æšŸ‡¼ Zimbabwe Fights Inflation With New Gold-Backed Currency

Youā€™re reading the headline right ā€” in the 21st century, countries are still opting for a gold standard.

Well, not countries, but a country: Zimbabwe. Long struggling to get inflation under control after money printing wrecked the Zimbabwe dollarā€™s value, the country of over 16 million is taking notes from the past, opting for a new gold-backed currency to restore economic order.

ZiG, standing for Zimbabwe Gold, will have an initial exchange value of 13.56 to 1 USD (Zimbabweā€™s current currency trades at 36,000 for 1 USD.)

  • While bold, the move isnā€™t without historic precedent. In post-World War I Weimar Germany ā€” historyā€™s most famous inflationary saga where wheelbarrows of cash were needed for even small transactions ā€” the country first turned to the interim Rentenmark (backed by industrial and agricultural assets) and shortly thereafter to the Reichsmark, which was on a gold standard.

Saving a currency: Zimbabwe hopes to follow a similar path, using a new currency tied to a hard asset like gold, which its central bank can't print ad infinitum, to restore faith in using the local currency.

  • Zimbabweā€™s central bank governor commented, ā€œWe want a solid and stable national currencyā€¦it doesnā€™t help to print money.ā€

  • The new currency will be ā€œanchored in and backed or covered by a composite basket of foreign currency reserves and precious metals received (mainly gold) and valuable minerals,ā€ he added.

  • One ton of gold in the governmentā€™s vaults and 1.5 tons offshore will do the heavy lifting in underpinning the currencyā€™s (hopefully) more stable exchange rate.

Why it matters:

A melting currency brings an economy to its knees. Itā€™s nearly impossible for businesses and savers to plan for the future if they donā€™t know what the money they use will be worth, an issue Zimbabweans know all too well (since 2007.)

In extreme cases, the currency devalues so fast that businesses must constantly update prices to stay on top of inflation ā€” the price of coffee at breakfast may differ by lunchtime.

  • When faith in a currency is lost, a race begins to spend the currency as fast as possible, as people hope to exchange their increasingly worthless savings for tangible goods or financial assets thatā€™ll better retain value.

  • In the past, Zimbabwe has resorted to making inflation illegal, arresting business leaders for raising prices and violating a nationwide price freeze.

Is this a lasting fix? Whether Zimbabwe has enough foreign currency and gold reserves to support the ZiG will determine its success, though economists arenā€™t optimistic.

Given that the country has had several currencies in recent years, Zimbabweans arenā€™t overly confident yet that their currency woes are over, either.

  • Years of political instability and falling behind on debt payments have left Zimbabwe financially isolated.

  • That leaves it with limited access to international markets to, at a minimum, rebuild its reserves of foreign currencies (by exporting goods & services) to defend its own currencyā€™s value (by selling foreign currencies and buying the ZiG in forex markets).

  • Zimbabweā€™s currency reserves are barely enough to cover one monthā€™s worth of its imports, a fraction of its African peers.

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Quick Poll

Will Zimbabwe's new gold-backed currency solve its inflation issues?

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On Friday, we asked: Do you think biased media coverage has meaningfully impacted your perception of the economy?

ā€” A sampling of comments included variations of the phrase, ā€œI donā€™t watch mainstream media due to their biased nature.ā€ Said another: ā€œI donā€™t assume the media assume the economy, so I listen to multiple sources and make up my own mind. Thatā€™s what an investor does!ā€

ā€” Another reader wrote in, ā€œFollowing Reuters, FT.com, and Bloomberg allows me to make my own interpretation of the state of the worldā€™s economy.ā€

TRIVIA ANSWER

18%. Thatā€™s the decline from 2020-2024 in the number of restaurants open 24 hours. Los Angeles saw the biggest drop at 35%, with rising food and labor costs (up 25% and 29%, respectively) weighing on late-night economics.

See you next time!

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